Friday, August 31, 2018

Forbes: Venezuela's Latest Lurch Into Insanity

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Venezuela just lurched from the absurd into the insane.
While the country suffers the brutal effects of hyperinflation, its socialist president, Nicolas Maduro, just mandated that the country's banks now must accept a certain type of cryptocurrency.
It's hard to know how that will help ease its economic crisis. Read more here.


Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Middle East Eye: Uncertainty around Aramco IPO shows Saudi dysfunction

By SIMON CONSTABLE

The apparent delay in the sale of Saudi Arabia's mammoth-sized oil firm Aramco is a symptom of dysfunctional government, analysts say. 
It is just one example of bizarreness emanating from the kingdom, which says it wants to unhook its economy from oil dependence.
Earlier this month, a slew of conflicting reports broke claiming that the initial public offering (IPO) of the state-owned oil company was either off or delayed. Read more here.

Monday, August 27, 2018

Forbes: Turkey To Face Brutal Credit Crunch

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Not only is Turkey suffering a currency crisis it is now headed for a brutal credit crunch, according to new research. Read more here.

Thursday, August 23, 2018

Korn Ferry: Greece-- One Down, Still Many More to Go

Things haven’t been great for Greece. Its people have been subject to crushing cutbacks in civil services and a troubled economy for nearly a decade. And while this week brought good news—the country successfully completed an emergency bailout loan program—leaders there face the daunting task of reinvigorating the nation’s people and economy. “You have to win hearts and minds,” says Kirsta Anderson, the London-based global solutions leader for Korn Ferry’s Culture Transformation practice. Read more here.

BBC World News: Is Globalization Over?

By SIMON CONSTABLE

BBC interview with David Lubin (Citigroup) and me a few days ago preceded by a report from the U.S. Interview starts around 2.49 minutes into the video.


Tuesday, August 21, 2018

Forbes: 9 Things You Need To Know About Turkey

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Turkey is in a mess.

Its currency is in a tailspin and inflation is out of control.
There really is a lot going on so here are some important things to know.

Sunday, August 19, 2018

Forbes: How Trumponomics Torpedoed Gold Prices

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Gold's not been having a good year, and you can lay the blame at the door of Trumponomics. Read more here.

Forbes: Recession Signals From The Bond Market, A Phantom Menace

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Some economists have caught a case of recession jitters all because of what is happening to the so-called yield curve.
But the case for an economic slowdown based on interest rates is flawed, new research shows. That's in part because the Federal Reserve is largely responsible for changes in the yield curve and at the same time, the Fed no longer has the power to shock the markets with its actions. Read more here.

Thursday, August 16, 2018

Barron's: Wheat Will Rise On Bad Weather

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Extreme weather is expected over the next 12 months and is likely to push up wheat prices to levels not seen since 2012. Read more here.

Photo by rajeev ramdas on Unsplash

Korn Ferry: UAE’s Prime Minister to Bosses ==> Make Your Employees Happier

By SIMON CONSTABLE

It doesn’t sound like something that would attract the attention of a country’s leader, at least not in countries where grumbling employees may be the norm. But when Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, the prime minister of the United Arab Emirates, recently heard that only 60% of employees in five government departments were satisfied with their jobs, he gave the managers of the departments new orders: Fix the problem in six months. Read more here.

United Arab Emirates
Photo by Christoph Schulz on Unsplash

Monday, August 13, 2018

Forbes: Another Worry For Investors In Turkey -- A NATO Split

By SIMON CONSTABLE
As if a currency crisis alone wasn't enough, now investors in Turkey could have another thing to worry over.
The country could split from NATO as soon as the end of the year, according to a recent report. Read more here.

Sunday, August 12, 2018

Forbes: Don't Blame Trump for Turkey's Woes

By SIMON CONSTABLE
These past two days it would have been easy to get the impression that U.S. President Donald Trump is responsible for the currency crisis in Turkey.
Unfortunately, for Turkey, Trump is not the source of all their economic woes.
Overwhelmingly, the real problems are insane economic policies implemented under the rule of Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan. Read more here.

Saturday, August 11, 2018

Barron's: Time to Buy the British Pound?

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Paranoia over Brexit, the future of the British economy without Europe, has pummeled the British pound lately, taking it to levels not seen since last year.

However, the currency situation may not reflect the real strength in the British economy nor the historically uncanny ability of the European Union to reach eleventh-hour deals, and hat means there may be profits to be had for investors. Read more here.

MonkeyStolen234CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons


Friday, August 10, 2018

Barron's: Gasoline Prices Expected to Level Off This Fall

By SIMON CONSTABLE

The end of the U.S.’s summer driving season will remove some of the upward pressure on gas prices, though they won’t stray too far from recent levels through the fall. Read more here.

Photo by Marek Studzinski on Unsplash

Monday, August 6, 2018

WSJ: What Are Catalysts?

By SIMON CONSTABLE

You may hear Wall Street analysts opining about “catalysts.” Usually, they are referring to events or revelations that could spark a significant movement in the price of a security.

Consider two recent reports: “Top Picks—25 Stocks with Catalysts,” from Swiss banking firm UBS , UBS 0.25% and “Market Moving Catalysts,” from the Bullseye Brief investment newsletter. What can you expect when reading such reports? Read more here.

Photo by Chris Liverani on Unsplash

WSJ: What's My Active Share?

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Investors recently gained access to more information about how their actively managed mutual funds are managed. Now they need to figure out how to use it. Read more here.

Photo by Robb Miller on Unsplash

Friday, August 3, 2018

Barron's: El Nino Modoki Could Jolt Coffee Market

By SIMON CONSTABLE

It’s time to drop a shot or two of espresso into your portfolio.
After years of sliding, coffee prices look set to jump due to a dry weather system that could stunt next year's crop. Read more here.

Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Korn Ferry: Responding to Europe's Record Heat Wave

The headlines tell it all: Europe's getting baked. July’s unprecedented wildfires in Sweden’s far north have forced town evacuations. Similarly, on the beaches near Athens, Greece, infernos have killed dozens. Britain, the land where rain rarely stops, is afflicted by drought. One utility has even instituted a hosepipe ban.
From the edge of the Arctic tundra down to the shores of the Mediterranean, extreme dry heat is threatening Europe with temperatures at or near the highest on record. The unusual spate of natural disasters has government responders and planners overloaded, but equally challenging are private sector's readiness, and the leadership required there as well. Read more here.