If you are an investor, do you watch economic trends? Some economists believe that being aware of economic trends gives investors an edge. I spoke with economist Simon Constable a few weeks ago to discern how his work might provide some insights and guidance to today’s investors. Constable is co-author of “The Wall Street Journal Guide to the 50 Economic Indicators That Really Matter: From Big Macs to ‘Zombie Banks,’ the Indicators Smart Investors Watch to Beat the Market.” Read more here.
Sunday, January 7, 2018
Friday, January 5, 2018
PJ Media: How Income Taxes Increase Economic Inequality
By SIMON CONSTABLE
New research suggests that some politicians may have been barking up the wrong tree when it comes to battling income inequality.
Take for instance, Bernie Sanders, the former left-wing candidate for U.S. president who in 2015 said that a 90 percent top income tax rate on the wealthy would not be too high. His idea was to reduce income inequality and he cited the eye-watering tax rates as the right way to do it. Plenty in the media rushed to his defense.
The problem is that the evidence from the real world doesn’t support such assertions. Read more here.
Thursday, January 4, 2018
U.S. News: Why an Inverted Yield Curve Signals Financial Disaster
By SIMON CONSTABLE
If the bond market inverts, will your portfolio get upended?
Increasingly market pros today are talking about a flatter yield curve in the bond market. And as the curve flattens we come closer to a dreaded inverted yield curve and a likely recession, which would not be good for stocks or riskier bonds. Read more here.
Wednesday, January 3, 2018
Tuesday, January 2, 2018
Forbes: Why Prince Harry Should Nix Obama Royal Wedding Invite
By SIMON CONSTABLE
There's a diplomatic spat waiting to happen between the U.S. and U.K., and it involves none other than former president Barrack Obama.
The out-of-office politician is known to be good friends with Prince Harry, and there is now talk of the former getting an invite to the forthcoming royal wedding, according to a report in Metro.
That invite shouldn't happen, and the matter comes down to economics. Read more here.
Saturday, December 30, 2017
Barron's: Lead Looks Dead
By SIMON CONSTABLE
The market for lead is about to get an electric shock. And It’s unlikely to recover. It won’t be just falling prices; futures markets trading volumes will probably drop to levels that make transactions very tough to complete. Read more here.
Barron's: How Investors Can Ride a Rally in Commodities
By SIMON CONSTABLE
If inflation looks set for a comeback, a larger-than-average helping of materials, energy, and foodstuffs could help investment returns.
“Energy, food, and materials are all key inputs into the inflation numbers,” says Will Rhind, CEO of exchange-traded fund firm GraniteShares in New York.
When inflation quickens, prices for those items will rally. But there are nuances that investors need to understand. Read more here.
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