Wednesday, August 12, 2015

TheStreet: Why China's Yuan Devaluations Won't Help Its Economy

By SIMON CONSTABLE
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- China's abrupt currency devaluations this week won't save its economy. If the move sparks a bounce in stocks, then investors who have been burned by the tumbling Shanghai market, down 20% since the beginning of June, should use the opportunity to sell into rising prices. Or failing that, just dump Chinese stocks.
The reasons for weakening the Renminbi yuan by is clear: To make China's exports cheaper in terms of foreign money, most notably U.S. dollars. The problem is that while it may boost exports, there are other consequences that will do more harm than good. Read more here.

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

TheStreet: Ten Reasons to Love the Strong Dollar

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The surge in the greenback has some stock investors screaming foul, but they shouldn't be. Instead, they should embrace the strength. 
It is true that the trade-weighted value of the U.S. dollar has climbed more than 21% in the last 13 months, according to recent data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve. It's also true that the rally is taking its toll on the earnings reports of some multinational companies -- their foreign revenues take a hit when translated back into dollars.
Still, there is plenty to feel great about. Here are 10 reasons to smile.

Monday, August 10, 2015

Forbes: Colorblind Secrets Your Colleagues Won't Tell You

By SIMON CONSTABLE

It never ceases to amaze me how unaware many colleagues are about a very common affliction: colorblindness. I have it. So does Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg, according to a report in the New Yorker and others.
Here’s what you need to know.
We can see colorsTotal inability to see color is very rare. What we do see isn’t the same as what you see. For instance, the color red is less vibrant for me. But, there are some things I’ll be able to see better than you, like certain camouflage patterns. Seeing the world in a different way can be an advantage.
Your color presentation is incomprehensible. This is especially so when it is full of charts with seven shades of pastel colored lines. All the lines are indistinguishable. My bank does similar with a pie chart of my investments: brown, green, red, beige, and black. It’s so confusing to look at that it’s meaningless. The consultant recommendations on what colors are best for presentations are probably wrong. Go with grayscale instead, unless you want to confuse us.
Read more here.

Forbes: What Trump Brings To The Table

By SIMON CONSTABLE
If you really want change then you need to do something different. That’s more or less what Einstein said and it applies as much to Washington politics as it does to science.
Americans seem to want change from their politicians. But then when someone turns up with the capabilities to do so many people throw up their arms in horror. I write of course about presidential candidate and billionaire real estate mogul Donald Trump who is doing a superb job of shaking up the establishment.
Here are some reasons to embrace him, or if not him then someone with some of his positive qualities.
Yes, he is brash and slightly crass at times. But he is a New Yorker. I live here. That’s how New Yorkers are and they usually aren’t bad people. Did anyone really think that the voice of much needed change in Washington would arrive in the guise of handsome European Prince with manners fit to dine at Buckingham Palace? Of course not.
Read more here.

Sunday, August 9, 2015

WSJ: The Downside of ETFs

By SIMON CONSTABLE

There is a lot for investors to like about exchange-traded funds, but there is also a downside for the stock market, a new study says.


Many investors like ETFs because the funds are an easy way to build a diverse portfolio with fees that generally are lower than those of mutual funds.


Now a group of academics offers a different take. A working paper titled “Is There a Dark Side to Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)? An Information Perspective,” by professors at the Arison School of Business in Israel, Stanford University and the University of California, Los Angeles, says the popularity of ETFs has led to higher trading costs for some stocks, as well as less coverage of stocks by analysts to help investors make decisions. It also has reduced the responsiveness of some stock prices to information about the companies behind them and made it harder for investors to diversify their holdings in a way that reduces their risk, the report says.

Read more here.

WSJ: What Is the Value Trap?

By SIMON CONSTABLE

What does it mean when investors talk about the “value trap”?
Broadly speaking, not all cheap stocks are a good value. If, like many value investors, you buy a stock that has a better-than-average dividend and is less expensive than other similar securities, then it could be a good deal. But there is also a chance that it isn’t. 
Put another way: Some things are cheap for a reason.
Sometimes a stock’s price falls because sophisticated investors see a longer-term problem with the company and decide to dump their positions, explains Sam Stovall, managing director of U.S. equity strategy at S&P Capital IQ. It could be, for example, that those savvy investors believe the company is in bad shape and will cut its dividend in due course.
Read more here.

Saturday, August 8, 2015

OZY: Falling Gold Prices Are The Latest Signs Of Good News

By SIMON CONSTABLE

Be afraid. Be very afraid. Or maybe not so much now.
When people see headlines about a market crash or some government turmoil, they tend to look for something secure, which in some cases includes stocking up on gold the way you might water bottles in a drought. (Yes, people still stick coins in their mattress and bury bars in their backyard.) And yet, with every reason to be afraid about the future of the so-called global economy staring us in the face, that doesn’t seem to be happening these days.
Read more here.